2024, Vol. 5, Issue 2, Part B
The effectiveness of multiple control measures for cholera outbreaks in Nigeria using mathematical modeling
Author(s): Hope I Mbachu, Chidinma A Okafor and Julius C Nwanya
Abstract: Cholera remains a significant global public health burden, particularly affecting regions with inadequate water and sanitation infrastructure. Effective control measures are crucial for mitigating cholera outbreaks and transmission. This study employs mathematical modeling to evaluate the combined effectiveness of multiple interventions - sanitation, treatment, vaccination, and public health education campaigns - in managing cholera dynamics in Nigeria. A new compartmental model is developed that incorporates these control strategies simultaneously. The model tracks susceptible, infected, and recovered populations, as well as the concentration of Vibrio cholerae bacteria in the environment. Specific parameters represent the impact of each intervention, such as reduced susceptibility through vaccination, lowered exposure via education, increased recovery with treatment, and reduced bacterial concentration through sanitation measures. Analysis at the disease-free equilibrium provides insights into the relative influence of these factors. Time-series simulations demonstrate a synergistic effect, with the integrated implementation of all four control measures leading to a steady linear increase in the recovered population over time. This implies that combined interventions are effective in curbing cholera spread and improving recovery rates.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.22271/math.2024.v5.i2b.161
Pages: 126-130 | Views: 78 | Downloads: 27
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How to cite this article:
Hope I Mbachu, Chidinma A Okafor and Julius C Nwanya. The effectiveness of multiple control measures for cholera outbreaks in Nigeria using mathematical modeling. Journal of Mathematical Problems, Equations and Statistics. 2024; 5(2): 126-130. DOI: 10.22271/math.2024.v5.i2b.161
