2023, Vol. 4, Issue 2, Part A
Role of media and emigration-dependent transmission rates on bacteria-dependent diseases: A brief mathematical modelling study
Author(s): Pushpendra Kumar
Abstract: The transmission dynamics of bacteria-dependent diseases, such as tuberculosis and cholera, are complex and influenced by various biological, environmental, and socio-demographic factors. Among these, the role of media campaigns and emigration patterns has emerged as a critical area of study. Media can significantly alter public behavior by promoting awareness, improving hygiene practices, and encouraging vaccination, thereby reducing transmission rates. On the other hand, emigration redistributes populations, affecting disease prevalence in both source and destination regions, with implications for global health management. This study develops a mathematical model to investigate the combined effects of media campaigns and emigration-dependent transmission rates on the spread of bacteria-dependent diseases. The model incorporates dynamic parameters for media influence and emigration, modifying the transmission rate to capture these effects. Through stability analysis and numerical simulations, the study identifies key thresholds and equilibrium states that determine whether a disease will persist or be eradicated. Results indicate that increased media effectiveness significantly reduces the basic reproduction number (R0), leading to faster containment of the disease. Conversely, emigration impacts the disease dynamics in a dual manner: it decreases the disease burden in the source population while potentially increasing the risk in receiving regions, especially when healthcare systems are not prepared for incoming cases. Sensitivity analyses highlight that the optimal combination of media efforts and migration management can lead to significant reductions in disease prevalence.This research provides valuable insights into the interplay of media and emigration in disease dynamics, offering evidence-based recommendations for public health strategies. It underscores the importance of integrating socio-behavioral and demographic factors into traditional epidemiological models to enhance their applicability in real-world scenarios. The findings can inform policymakers on designing targeted media campaigns and migration-related health interventions to mitigate the impact of bacteria-dependent diseases.
Pages: 98-103 | Views: 60 | Downloads: 27
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How to cite this article:
Pushpendra Kumar. Role of media and emigration-dependent transmission rates on bacteria-dependent diseases: A brief mathematical modelling study. Journal of Mathematical Problems, Equations and Statistics. 2023; 4(2): 98-103.